Research

Deseret UAS Whitepaper

Flight Testing Market for Commercial Large Unmanned Aircraft Vehicles (UAV) and Urban Air Mobility (UAM) Vehicles

Dustin Eatchel 0 0 Article rating: No rating

This study has identified more than 240 UAM vehicles in development. The swift development of commercial large Unmanned Aircraft Vehicles (UAV), supporting Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) and Urban Air Mobility (UAM) vehicles, along with the number and variety of industry participants has created significant demand for flight test sites to validate these emerging technologies.

This includes not only flight testing the aircraft platforms and propulsion systems, but also sensors for communication, navigation, and surveillance. Regulators rely on flight testing as essential to the collection of data that can be used to evaluate technology with an aim towards developing regulations for aircraft airworthiness certification and for a UAS Traffic Management (UTM) system to incorporate into the overall Air Traffic Management System (ATM). While manufacturers support regulators’ need for data, their primary mission in testing is the ability to evaluate their own products for entry into market. Therefore, this study discusses the attributes of commercial UAM flight test sites in terms of location, services, personnel and cost, all of which are important to companies developing UAM vehicles and products.

Understanding customers’ perspectives on these issues helps to determine how to create value propositions for the industry. Consideration is also given to the appropriate marketing and pricing approach for a nascent, but quickly evolving industry.

Deseret UAS, a Utah nonprofit public-private-partnership, commissioned this white paper to evaluate these questions to enable the commercial UAM industry to flight test new technologies and to allow policymakers throughout the country to take the steps necessary to create a

Booz Allen Hamilton Report to NASA

Urban Air Mobility (UAM) Market Study 2018

Tulinda Larsen 0 0 Article rating: No rating

This study focused on three portential UAM market: Aiport Shuttle, Air Taxi, and Air Ambulance using ten target urban areas to explore market size. This study concludes:

Aiport shuttle and air taxi markets are viable markets with a significant total avialable market value of $500B at the market entry price points in the best-case unconstrained scenario.

Air amublance market served by eVTOL is not a viable market due to techonlogy constraints, but utilization of hybrid VTOL aircraft would make the market potentially viable.

Significant legal/regulatory, certification, public perception,, weather, infrastructure, and public perceptions will reduce the market potential in the near term.

After applying operational constraints/barriers, 0.5% of the total avialable market worth $2.5B can be captured in the near term.

Constraints can potentially be addressed through ongoing intergovernmental partnerships (i.e. NASA, government, and industry collaboration, strong industry commitment, and existing legal and regulatory enablers.

Crown Consulting NASA UAM Report

Urban Air Mobility (UAM) Market Study 2018

Tulinda Larsen 0 0 Article rating: No rating

Crown Consulting, along with McKinsey & Company, Ascension Global, and Georgia Tech Aerospace Systems Design Lab, conducted a concurrent study for NASA with the Booz Allen Hamilton Study of the UAM market.

This study focused on three areas:

Holistic assessment of use case profitability by 2030

Review of technology, regulatory, and infrastructure changes likely needed to achieve UAM operations

Overview of potential public acceptance landscape and possible solutions and barriers to widespread UAM adoption

The three use cases included:

Use case 1 – Last Mile Delivery

Rapid delivery of packages (less than 5 lb.) from local distribution hubs to a dedicated receiving vessel. Deliveries are unscheduled and routed as online orders are placed.

Use case 2 – Air Metro

Resembles current public transit options such as subways and buses, with pre-determined routes, regular schedules, and set stops in high traffic areas throughout each city. Vehicles are autonomously operated and can accommodate 2 to 5 passengers at a time, with an average load of 3 passengers per trip.

Use case 3 – Air Taxi

The air taxi use case is a near-ubiquitous (or door-to-door) ridesharing operation that allows consumers toc all vertical takeoff and landing aircraft (VTOLs) to their desired pickup locations and specify drop-off destinations at rooftops throughout a given city. Rides are unscheduled and on demand like ridesharing applications today. Like the air metro case, vehicles are autonomously operated and can accommodate 2 to 5 passengers at a time, with an average load of 1 passenger per trip.

 

 

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